U.S. economic digital twin

The economy, at street level. Ask. Compare. Simulate.

Economic Twin brings 13.9 million U.S. business locations, 342 million synthetic residents, and county and block geography onto one globe. Explore a street corner, ask the analyst a question, or compare business scenarios. Inspect the sources, modeled estimates and assumptions behind the results.

One free site simulation per month · no card required

propane supplier & delivery service 47,319 self-storage facility 31,322 full-service commercial bank branch 23,909 independent insurance agency 18,716 apartment rental community 15,689 pizza restaurant with delivery 15,203 personal injury law firm 12,592 ignition interlock installation & calibration 10,550 bitcoin ATM operator 10,432 residential & commercial HVAC contractor 10,499 property damage restoration contractor 2,749 mortgage loan brokerage 1,238 early childhood education center 1,173 vacation rental management operator 778 public fire protection district 678 board-certified orthopedic surgeon 520 licensed esthetician waxing studio 328 rare coin & precious metals dealer 173 superfood bowl & smoothie restaurant 157 youth volleyball club 102 handcrafted ice cream & dessert shop 96 volunteer ambulance service 84 traditional Chinese martial arts school 45 Christian cowboy church 43
Example categories from the U.S. business catalogue
01
13,890,559
U.S. businesses with modeled employment & revenue
02
5.4M
locations with website-derived business cards
03
2,500+
distinct source entries in the canonical manifests
04 · live
341,785,567
synthetic residents, every one of them fully synthetic
Sheet 02 · capabilities compiled 2026-09 · rev. A
What it does

Explore a place. Test a decision.

Use geography, business evidence and modeled customer demand together. Move from a broad market question to a specific place and a saved scenario.

Fig. 02 · the globe

Real terrain, real imagery, no keys

Global terrain decoded in the browser, satellite imagery served from our own store, public-domain and open-licence only, no third-party tile services at runtime. Toggle population, businesses, 3D buildings, roads, parcels and labels; drop to a rooftop and the points are clickable.

Sentinel-2 10 m NAIP 0.3 m tiles 38,192
Fig. 03 · business evidence

Click it, and it explains itself

About 5.4 million U.S. locations carry website-derived business cards describing their activities and customers, with supporting excerpts. Some cards inherit a brand description; that is labeled separately from location evidence. Filed records and modeled employment or revenue estimates remain distinguishable.

employment47 · filed (PPP 2021)
revenue$6.1M ± 2.4 · modeled
B2B 34% B2C 58% Gov 8%
"We supply wholesale accounts across the Northwest as well as our retail storefront." evidence · about page · captured 2026-08-31
Fig. 04 · the AI analyst

An analyst grounded in the model

Ask in plain language. The analyst queries business records, local statistics, benchmarks and simulation tools. Results distinguish source data, modeled estimates and assumptions so you can inspect the basis of an answer.

Describe a business, its staffing and operating hours. Compare scenarios with modeled customer demand, local competition and cost assumptions. Inspect the uncertainty, revenue ramp and saved customer playback. When a suitable peer group or source is missing, the result should say so.

run 195% CI tighteningrun 4,000
running sims 4,000 drive-time catchment cohort economics state wages
Fig. 05 · a separate data product

Need a business list?

Economic Twin Business Data uses the same business catalogue for targeted research and downloadable lists. Search by specialty, refine the matches, and review export pricing on its dedicated page.

Explore Business Data
Fig. 06 · follow a resident

See the customers behind a scenario

Follow synthetic residents and inspect saved modeled customer activity by day or month. The simulation distinguishes individual accounts, estimated spending and unresolved demand; it does not claim to observe anyone’s real purchases.

Synthetic residents represent modeled people. The full income, supplier and financing loop is still being developed, with accounting gaps kept explicit.

Fig. 07 · scenario SDK

Fork the economy and run the experiment

Query the model, change scenario assumptions and compare saved runs. The scripting surface keeps the inputs and results inspectable. See the separate API page for developer access and integration details.

Sheet 03 · field captures plates to follow
Capture pending, the globe 16:10 · suggested: business layer over Spokane, WA at z15
Capture pending: customer playback 16:10 · suggested: saved customer playback and a monthly scenario report
Sheet 04 · lines of inquiry answers cite sources
Ask it

Questions that used to take a consulting study.

One coherent system in place of disconnected econometric models, GIS analysis, financial research and intuition, with the assumptions and uncertainty you need to know when the answer should be trusted.

>

Where in Phoenix should I open a 2,500 sq ft sandwich shop if I want a >20% probability of $2M sales in year two?

>

Trace $100 of median Spokane household monthly digital spending. How much reaches California firms?

>

How much of this county's consumer spending stays inside the county after five transaction hops?

>

Simulate a 50% tariff on these Canadian product codes from Jan 1, 2027. Which U.S. establishments are most exposed?

>

Which 100 private manufacturers look most fragile to a 20% electricity-price shock?

>

Fork the economy from today and compare no recession vs mild vs severe through 2031.

Sheet 05 · provenance three tiers, never blurred
Provenance

The three tiers are never blurred.

The interface distinguishes filed observations, modeled estimates and simulation results. Inspect the source and scope of a number, including missing coverage or validation, before using it to make a decision.

Facts

Filed and published records, Census, BLS, BEA, PPP, OSHA, Form 5500, IRS 990, state licences. 2.1 million businesses carry one. Shown as observed, never adjusted to fit.

Estimates

Modeled values with a distribution and a provenance trail, scored against held-out government filings the model never saw, 42% within 2× in the published employment benchmark on 339,174 unseen anchors, and we publish that number as it is.

Simulations

Branches of reality, each with a model version, a seed and an assumption ledger. Every override carries a written reason. Re-runnable, comparable, explainable.

01

Facts first, estimates second, simulations third

Observed and modeled values coexist labeled in the same card, and the interface always says which is which.

02

Inspect sources, vintage and confidence

Open "Why these numbers?" on a business card to inspect what was filed, what was inferred, and how far the estimate could be off.

03

Backtested against filed reality

Estimates are graded on government filings held out of training, and physically impossible answers are hunted as falsification gates, not smoothed away.

04

Free and public data first

The source register covers census statistics, business registers, filed records and commercial datasets. Access, vintage and license terms remain source-specific.

Design principle, the synthetic population

The businesses are real. The people never are.

Business facts come from public commercial information, government filings, public registers, and what companies publish about themselves. Every resident, household, and personal detail in the simulation is fully synthetic: statistically representative agents generated from aggregate census statistics, based on no real individual. Synthetic resident records do not describe real individuals. Account information and saved research are covered in our data practices.

Sheet 06 · plans and creditsU.S. dollars · monthly plans
Pricing

Start with one decision. Go deeper when you need to.

Paid plans include exploration credits for metered analyst and simulation use. Included credits reset each billing period; purchased top-up credits do not expire. Business-list exports have separate record pricing.

Explorer
$0 / month

Explore the model and test a site.

  • One bounded site simulation per UTC calendar month
  • Same simulation engine, lower-cost conversational model
  • Verified email required for the free simulation
Professional
$149 / month

For recurring research and scenario work.

  • 7,000 exploration credits per billing period
  • More capacity for analyst queries and simulations
  • Saved scenario comparison and reports
Team
$499 / month

A shared exploration pool for three seats.

  • 24,000 exploration credits per billing period
  • Owner plus two invited member seats
  • Owner-managed invites and shared usage

Team checkout opens when seat management is enabled.

Enterprise
From $1,500 / month

Custom scope and access arrangements.

  • Discuss API usage and deployment needs
  • Agree scope, limits and support before purchase
  • Custom agreement, no automatic checkout
Discuss Enterprise

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Need more exploration capacity? Top up $25 for 2,500 credits, $100 for 10,500, or $250 for 27,500. These are exploration credits, not a promise of a fixed number of queries or business-list records.

Manage your plan, credits and billing · Developer API · Business Data pricing

Sheet 07 · get startedNo card required
Try it free

Come look at the economy.

Create your account, verify your email and run one bounded site simulation each calendar month. Explore a location, describe your business and inspect the modeled result.

The free allowance resets monthly in UTC. No payment card is required.

Try it free

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